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Scottsdale Arcadia Market Data

Market Data · Updated July 2026
By Anne Sostman | The Brokery | License SA718853000

Scottsdale, Paradise Valley & Arcadia
What the First Half of 2026 Actually Did.

ARMLS · Single-Family Detached · January 1 to June 30, 2026

Every figure on this page comes from ARMLS sold data for January 1 through June 30, 2026, measured against the same period in 2025, for single-family detached homes. No estimates, no projections. Where a number is derived rather than reported, it says so.

“Averages across a city hide the story. Arcadia and South Scottsdale both had a strong first half, but for completely opposite reasons, one on price, one on volume. Knowing which one describes your street is the difference between pricing well and guessing.”
Anne Sostman
$1.72M
Scottsdale average sale price, up 4%
$5.84M
Paradise Valley average, up 17%
+52%
Arcadia sales volume, the largest gain
97%
Scottsdale sale-to-list, unchanged
Source: ARMLS Sold Market Analysis
Single-Family Detached
Jan 1 to Jun 30, 2026 vs 2025
Updated July 2026
Published by Anne Sostman

The Headline

Three Markets. Three Different Stories.

Scottsdale sold 2,487 single-family homes in the first half of 2026, up 14% from 2,177 a year earlier, at an average of $1,722,519: a 4% increase. Sale-to-list held at 97%, and days to close rose from 76 to 83. Total volume reached $4.28 billion, up 19%. That is a market absorbing more inventory at steadily rising prices without giving up negotiating position.

Paradise Valley tells a different story: 199 homes sold, essentially flat against 198 last year, but the average sale price jumped 17% to $5,840,018 and volume rose 18% to $1.16 billion. Flat unit count with a 17% price increase means the mix moved upmarket, not that every home appreciated 17%. Sale-to-list eased from 96% to 95%, and days to close sat at 101.

Scottsdale · 85251-85266
2,487 sold (+14%) · avg $1,722,519 (+4%) · 97% of list · 83 days to close · $4.28B volume (+19%)
Paradise Valley · 85253
199 sold (+1%) · avg $5,840,018 (+17%) · 95% of list · 101 days to close · $1.16B volume (+18%)
Arcadia · 85018
256 sold (+21%) · avg $2,276,950 (+26%) · 96% of list · 81 days to close · volume up 52%

Section 01, Arcadia

Arcadia Had the Strongest First Half.

Of every area measured, Arcadia moved the most. 256 single-family homes sold against 212 a year earlier, a 21% increase, at an average of $2,276,950, up 26%. Total sales volume rose 52%, the largest gain anywhere in the three markets.

Both figures moving together is what makes it notable. Rising volume alone can mean a market clearing inventory at soft prices; rising price alone can mean a handful of large sales distorting the average. Arcadia did both at once, while holding 96% of list and closing in 81 days. For sellers, that is the clearest evidence of genuine demand depth in the corridor.

Section 02 By Area

Scottsdale Is Not One Market. Here Is the Proof.

Broken out by zip code, the spread between Scottsdale's submarkets is wider than the citywide average suggests, from an average sale price under $700,000 in one area to nearly $2.4 million in another, in the same six months.

North · 85255
DC Ranch, Silverleaf, Grayhawk. 560 sold (+21%), the largest single submarket. Average $2,324,310 (+7%), volume +30%.
North · 85262
Troon, Desert Mountain, Estancia. 289 sold (+3%), average $2,307,671 (+3%), volume +6%: the steadiest area measured.
North · 85266
The Carefree edge, including Winfield. 212 sold (+12%), average $1,699,007 (+7%), volume +20%.
Central · 85254
The Kierland corridor. 359 sold (+16%), average $1,196,986 (+2%), volume +18%.
Central · 85258
McCormick Ranch and Gainey Ranch. 235 sold (+27%), average $1,543,487 (+4%), volume +32%.
Central · 85259
Ancala and Scottsdale Mountain. 212 sold, average $1,598,960 (-1%), volume -1%: the only area flat on every measure.
Central · 85260
220 sold (+15%), average $1,498,976 (+6%), volume +21%.
Old Town · 85251
135 sold (-4%), the only area with fewer sales, but the average rose 10% to $1,875,794.
South · 85257
168 sold (+44%), the largest volume jump in units. Average $672,553, down 5%. Volume +37%.

Section 03 What It Means

Reading These Numbers as a Seller.

**South Scottsdale and Old Town moved in opposite directions, and both are healthy.** South Scottsdale sold 44% more homes at a 5% lower average: that is an affordability-driven market widening its buyer pool, not a market weakening. Old Town sold slightly fewer homes at a 10% higher average, fewer transactions, better ones. A seller in either area who reads only the citywide number will price wrong.

**Days to close lengthened almost everywhere.** Scottsdale moved from 76 to 83 days, Arcadia from 76 to 81. Meanwhile days on market for *active* listings fell 20% in both Scottsdale and Paradise Valley. Active inventory is moving faster; closings are taking longer. Plan your timeline around the closing figure, not the listing one.

**Sale-to-list is the number to watch.** Scottsdale held 97%, Arcadia 96%, Paradise Valley slipped to 95%. Those are strong ratios, but they describe correctly priced homes. A property that launches above the market does not get the average; it gets a reduction and a longer clock.

Section 04, Method

Where These Numbers Come From.

Stated plainly, so you can judge the data yourself.

1
Source
ARMLS Sold Market Analysis, report date July 20, 2026. Single-family detached only, condos, townhomes, and patio homes are excluded.
2
Period
January 1 to June 30, 2026, compared against January 1 to June 30, 2025. Half-year totals, not monthly or annualized.
3
Verification
Each area's figures were checked so that reported sales volume divided by average sale price equals the reported number of sales. Paradise Valley cross-checks identically between the citywide and zip-level reports.
4
What Is Not Here
No months-of-supply figure, because the source does not distinguish point-in-time from cumulative active inventory. No price-band or neighborhood-level splits, zip code is the finest resolution available in this report.

Common Questions

Questions Buyers and Owners Ask Most.

What is the average home price in Scottsdale in 2026?
For single-family detached homes sold between January 1 and June 30, 2026, the average sale price in Scottsdale was $1,722,519, up 4% from $1,653,320 in the same period of 2025, across 2,487 sales (ARMLS). The figure varies widely by submarket: roughly $672,553 in 85257 to $2,324,310 in 85255.
What is the average home price in Paradise Valley?
$5,840,018 for single-family homes sold in the first half of 2026, up 17% from $4,976,613 a year earlier, across 199 sales (ARMLS). Unit sales were essentially flat, so the increase reflects a shift toward higher-priced properties rather than uniform appreciation.
How is the Arcadia real estate market doing?
Arcadia (85018) had the strongest first half of any area measured. 256 single-family homes sold, up 21%, at an average of $2,276,950, up 26%, with total sales volume rising 52%. Homes sold at 96% of list price and took 81 days to close (ARMLS, Jan-Jun 2026).
How long does it take to sell a home in Scottsdale?
Single-family homes closing in the first half of 2026 averaged 83 days from contract to close, up from 76 days a year earlier. Notably, days on market for active listings fell about 20% over the same period, inventory is being absorbed faster while the closing process itself is taking longer (ARMLS).
Are homes selling for asking price in Scottsdale?
Close to it. Scottsdale single-family homes sold at an average of 97% of list price in the first half of 2026, unchanged from 2025. Arcadia averaged 96% and Paradise Valley 95%, down one point. These ratios describe correctly priced homes: a listing that launches above the market typically takes a reduction rather than achieving the average.

Work With Anne

Want These Numbers for Your Street?

Zip-code data is the finest resolution published. Your pocket, your price band, and your product type behave differently, and that analysis is the one that matters before you list.

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